Opening Odds Nfl
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We made it, y’all. We’ve navigated the apocalypse and, finally, it’s game week. As such, it’s time to take a look at the current early week odds for all NFL Week 1 games. Lines will vary, of course, from site to site, sports book to sports book, so I’m going to go with a commonly-used app with many gamblers - Bovada.
Per Bovada, the opening Week 1 odds for each game are:
Thurs 9/10
Houston at Kansas City (-9.5); 54.5
Sunday 9/13
Chicago at Detroit (-3); O/U 44.5
Cleveland at Baltimore (-8); O/U 48.5
Green Bay at Minnesota (-2.5); O/U 45.5
Indianapolis (-8) at Jacksonville; O/U 45
Las Vegas (-3) at Carolina; O/U 47.5
Miami at New England (-6.5); O/U 43
New York Jets at Buffalo (-6.5); O/U 39.5
Philadelphia (-6.5) at Washington; O/U 43
Seattle (-2) at Atlanta; O/U 49
LA Chargers (-3) at Cincinnati; O/U 43
Arizona at San Francisco (-7); O/U 47.5
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-3.5); O/U 49
Dallas (-3) at LA Rams; O/U 52
Monday 9/14
Pittsburgh (-6) at New York Giants
Tennessee at Denver (pick)
Lines (I think) I like
I can’t get Miami out of my mouth fast enough. In fact, it was at +6 for Miami yesterday and shifted to +6.5 today, which means the money has been coming in on New England. We know what happened last time, and Miami got better since and New England has (seemingly) gotten significantly worse. That’s obviously normally a murderous road trip, but last year proved these teams have closed the gap. Maybe wait and see if it gets to 7, then take it.
Not sure why the Raiders are laying 3 at Carolina. I know the Panthers are entering the Matt Rhule era with a new quarterback, but the Panthers have the best player in the stadium by far. I also don’t trust Jon Gruden and Derek Carr not to lay an egg on the road here. Tampa Bay was getting 3, but that’s creeped up to 3.5. Should be a close, relatively high scoring game in the Superdome, so getting the hook could make a difference. I also like the Chargers chances of covering 3 as a road favorite more than most teams.
Lines I wouldn’t touch, even with your money
Seattle laying 2 at Atlanta. Who. Freaking. Knows. Those are two notoriously enigmatic teams who can score in bunches. If anything, I might think about over 49, but nothing on that spread. Indy is laying 8 at Jacksonville, and that seems like a lot for a team of Indy’s ilk to lay here, but is this one of those Baltimore-Miami season openers where the team who purged its roster (Jags) still hasn’t gotten its sea legs yet? Could be, but I wouldn’t put money down on it either way. Same for Cleveland. The Browns won in Baltimore in 2019 (and convincingly at that) and fortified their offensive line by adding tackles Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills, but they have a new head coach and a new system on both sides of the ball. I just don’t trust them not to have a learning curve against the most explosive player in the game on the road. I just don’t feel comfortable about it either way.
Lines are only seeing a small early-week movement. Wildcard weekend of the NFL postseason is in the best sportsbooks and the NFL Odds for the Divisional Round have opened with some steady movement in multiple markets. Find out which ones might move more, or which ones may still have value.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers
Saturday, January 16, 2021 – 04:35 PM ESTat Lambeau Field
After getting by Seattle in the Wildcard round, the Rams are now up against an even tougher test in the Divisional round against the Packers. Fresh off their bye week, the Packers are laying -6 ½ in this one and while there are still some shops hanging the opening line of -7, it does seem like the action has come in steadily enough on both sides to avoid a ton of movement early in the week.
Opening Odds Nfl 2020
The game plan for the Rams will be the same in this one as it was last week. It’s hard for Aaron Rodgers to cook if he’s on the sideline watching the Rams constantly run the ball. After generating 164 yards on offense on the ground last week, the Rams will be looking to do more of the same this week. With a total that has started to drop from 46 where it opened, to 45 now, it seems like the under could be the lean in this one.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
Saturday, January 16, 2021 - 08:15 PM ESTat Bills Stadium
After what could be a more defensive affair, the offense will start to heat up more in primetime on Saturday night. The Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen opened up as -3 favorites in the NFL Odds, but action on the Ravens has forced this line down a half-point. Whether it settles at -2 ½ remains to be seen, but the Bills have become a somewhat public darling recently, so it wouldn’t surprise me to see it stick where sharps bet the Ravens and the public money pours in on Buffalo.
The total for this one is where the action might be. Both these defenses are fierce but these two offenses may be even more dynamic. That being said, the total hasn’t budged from 50 points, and with the good rushing attacks for both clubs, it may be more of the same script from the first game where both teams want to run the ball and keep the opposing offense off the field.
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, January 17, 2021 - 03:05 PM ESTat Arrowhead Stadium
The league’s defending champion, the Chiefs, are set to host the Cinderella Cleveland Browns to open things up on Sunday. Will midnight strike on the boys from Northern Ohio, or will they surprise some people once again by either keeping this one close or winning outright?
The NFL odds aren't giving the Browns much credit for their outright win over the Steelers last week, but that may be saying more about the Steelers than the Browns. Oddsmakers have the Chiefs as -10 favorites but there are different books shading the line a half point either way. The total of 56 points is easily the highest of the weekend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
Sunday, January 17, 2021 - 06:40 PM ESTat Mercedes-Benz Superdome
The battle of the elder statesmen in the NFL will close out the Divisional Round as Tom Brady and Drew Brees attempt to prolong their runs as Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks. The NFL Odds for this one are tight with the Saints as -3 favorites.
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Opening Odds Nfl
It’s possible this line is just set well and it may see some even action on both sides as we head deeper into the week. However, so far, we have yet to see it move from three points. The total on the other hand has moved a half-point from 51 ½ to 52 points and it’s the only total that has seen over action move the number.